sábado, 28 de março de 2015

Trabalhe e Pague suas Contas. A Política de Bem-Estar de Lee Kuan Yew.


Bom, esclareço inicialmente, que não sou especialista em Cingapura (ou Singapura, do leão Sing), mas este texto de John Fund, da National Review merece leitura.

Aqui vai parte do texto:

In Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Built a Welfare State That Works

by JOHN FUND March 27, 2015 4:00 AM

Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/416071/singapore-lee-kuan-yew-built-welfare-state-works-john-fund

Obituaries of Lee Kuan Yew, the first prime minister of Singapore who died this week at age 91, broke down into roughly two camps: 

- He was a hero, building a “clean as Disneyland” republic that runs like a Swiss watch. 

- He was an autocrat, who built a successful economy but crushed opponents and journalists who challenged his “managed” democracy.  Both statements have big elements of truth. 

I take a third approach, based on a fascinating visit I made to Singapore earlier this month. Lee Kuan Yew, a member of Britain’s left-wing Labour party while a student at Cambridge, managed to create a workable welfare state, one that provides for people without creating Social Security–like Ponzi schemes or unsustainable entitlements. Both liberals and conservatives have much to learn from what he built, the details of which are missing in most of the tributes to him.  

Lee’s first priority when he became prime minister in 1959 was to reimagine Singapore’s economy. “Back then, this place was a swamp, with no natural resources, and it even had to import its drinking water from Malaysia,” Jim Rogers, a noted American investor who has lived in Singapore for nearly a decade, told me during my visit there.  By embracing free trade, capital formation, vigorous meritocratic education, low taxes, and a reliable judicial system, Lee raised the per capita income of his country from $500 a year to some $52,000 a year today. That’s 50 percent higher than that of Britain, the colonial power that ruled Singapore for 150 years. Its average annual growth rate has averaged 7 percent since the 1970s. “A 2010 study showed more patents and patent applications from the small city-state of Singapore (population 5.6 million) than from Russia (population 140 million),” noted economist Thomas Sowell observes. 

But that wealth wasn’t used to create a traditional welfare state. Economist Mark Skousen notes that Singapore is rated along with Hong Kong as one of the two most free economies in the world. Any expansion of government is gradual and grudging. 

In 2013, when Singapore broadened its medical-benefits program, the local Straits Times newspaper made clear the government’s philosophy: “The first [priority] is to keep government subsidies targeted at those who most need them, rather than commit to benefits for all. Universal benefits are ‘wasteful and inequitable,’ and hard to take away once given, [finance minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam] said.” 

That mindset is embodied in Singapore’s philosophy of welfare, which rests on four pillars: 

- Each generation should pay its own way. 

- Each family should pay its own way. 

- Each individual should pay his own way. 

- Only after passing through these three filters should anyone turn to the government for help. But it will be there when needed.



sábado, 21 de março de 2015

Fundador do Greenpeace não Acredita que Homem é Culpado da Mudança Climática.Diz que é tudo Poder e Dinheiro.


Patrick Moore é co-fundador da conhecida organização ambientalista Greenpeace. Foi presidente do Greenpeace por nove anos.

Ele recentemente escreveu um artigo explicando por que ele acha que esse negócio de aquecimento global que o homem é culpado é bobagem.

Vejamos parte do que ele disse em artigo publicado no site Heartland, para ler tudo, clique no link.

Why I am a Climate Change Skeptic
By PATRICK MOORE
Dr. Patrick Moore is the co-founder, chair, and chief scientist of Greenspirit Strategies.

I am skeptical humans are the main cause of climate change and that it will be catastrophic in the near future. There is no scientific proof of this hypothesis, yet we are told “the debate is over” and “the science is settled.”

My skepticism begins with the believers’ certainty they can predict the global climate with a computer model. The entire basis for the doomsday climate change scenario is the hypothesis increased atmospheric carbon dioxide due to fossil fuel emissions will heat the Earth to unlivable temperatures.

In fact, the Earth has been warming very gradually for 300 years, since the Little Ice Age ended, long before heavy use of fossil fuels. Prior to the Little Ice Age, during the Medieval Warm Period, Vikings colonized Greenland and Newfoundland, when it was warmer there than today. And during Roman times, it was warmer, long before fossil fuels revolutionized civilization.

The idea it would be catastrophic if carbon dioxide were to increase and average global temperature were to rise a few degrees is preposterous.
Recently, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) announced for the umpteenth time we are doomed unless we reduce carbon-dioxide emissions to zero. Effectively this means either reducing the population to zero, or going back 10,000 years before humans began clearing forests for agriculture. This proposed cure is far worse than adapting to a warmer world, if it actually comes about.
IPCC Conflict of Interest

By its constitution, the IPCC has a hopeless conflict of interest. Its mandate is to consider only the human causes of global warming, not the many natural causes changing the climate for billions of years. We don’t understand the natural causes of climate change any more than we know if humans are part of the cause at present. If the IPCC did not find humans were the cause of warming, or if it found warming would be more positive than negative, there would be no need for the IPCC under its present mandate. To survive, it must find on the side of the apocalypse.

The IPCC should either have its mandate expanded to include all causes of climate change, or it should be dismantled.

Political Powerhouse

Climate change has become a powerful political force for many reasons. First, it is universal; we are told everything on Earth is threatened. Second, it invokes the two most powerful human motivators: fear and guilt. We fear driving our car will kill our grandchildren, and we feel guilty for doing it.

Third, there is a powerful convergence of interests among key elites that support the climate “narrative.” Environmentalists spread fear and raise donations; politicians appear to be saving the Earth from doom; the media has a field day with sensation and conflict; science institutions raise billions in grants, create whole new departments, and stoke a feeding frenzy of scary scenarios; business wants to look green, and get huge public subsidies for projects that would otherwise be economic losers, such as wind farms and solar arrays. Fourth, the Left sees climate change as a perfect means to redistribute wealth from industrial countries to the developing world and the UN bureaucracy.

So we are told carbon dioxide is a “toxic” “pollutant” that must be curtailed, when in fact it is a colorless, odorless, tasteless, gas and the most important food for life on earth. Without carbon dioxide above 150 parts per million, all plants would die.

We have no proof increased carbon dioxide is responsible for the earth’s slight warming over the past 300 years. There has been no significant warming for 18 years while we have emitted 25 per cent of all the carbon dioxide ever emitted. Carbon dioxide is vital for life on Earth and plants would like more of it. Which should we emphasize to our children?

Celebrate Carbon Dioxide

The IPCC’s followers have given us a vision of a world dying because of carbon-dioxide emissions. I say the Earth would be a lot deader with no carbon dioxide, and more of it will be a very positive factor in feeding the world. Let’s celebrate carbon dioxide.



quinta-feira, 19 de março de 2015

Novo Banco Chinês de Desenvolvimento atrai Países Ricos (ex EUA)



Obama pediu que os países ricos do ocidente ficassem do lado do dólar. Pediu que eles não aderissem ao novo banco chinês, mas não adiantou. E aí, do nosso lado brasileiro, eu pergunto: não tem também um tal de Banco do Brics? E aí?

Vejamos parte do artigo do New York Times.

BRUSSELS — Ignoring direct pleas from the Obama administration, Europe’s biggest economies have declared their desire to become founding members of a new Chinese-led Asian investment bank that the United States views as a rival to the World Bank and other institutions set up at the height of American power after World War II.

The announcement on Tuesday by Germany, France and Italy that they would follow Britain and join the Chinese-led venture delivered a stinging rebuke to Washington from some of its closest allies. It also called into question whether the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, which grew out of a multination conference in Bretton Woods, N.H., in 1944 and established an economic pecking order that lasted 70 years, will find their influence diminished.

The announcement by Germany, Europe’s largest economy, came only six days after Secretary of State John Kerry asked his German counterpart, Frank Walter-Steinmeier, to resist the Chinese overtures until the Chinese agreed to a number of conditions about transparency and governing of the new entity. But Germany came to the same conclusion that Britain did:China is such a large export and investment market for it that it cannot afford to stay on the sidelines.

American officials have fumed that China never approached the Group of 7 — the consortium of economic powers that the United States has led — but rather decided to pick off individual members, setting a deadline of the end of March for them to decide whether to join the new organization, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, which many refer to by its initials, the A.I.I.B.

China, in turn, has long chafed at the idea that the World Bank’s president is traditionally an American, and that France appoints the head of the I.M.F.

“This has been a power struggle,” one senior European official said. “And we have moved from the world of 1945.”

In Washington, Jen Psaki, the State Department spokeswoman, declined to criticize the countries that announced they would seek to participate, but expressed reservations. “It will be important for prospective members of the A.I.I.B. to push for the adoption of those same high standards that other international institutions abide by, including strong board oversight and safeguards,” she said.

The European decision is bound to help efforts by Xi Jinping, China’s president and Communist Party chief, to reshape the global balance of power, starting with the institutions that underpin it.

Mr. Xi’s predecessors chose to join some of those institutions, including the World Trade Organization, and work from within to amend some of their rules more to China’s liking. But with the new bank, China appears to be stepping up previously halting efforts to also build new, Sino-centric institutions from scratch. China’s control of the bank, however, will face constraints. Britain has insisted on a senior post on its board, and Germany will do the same.

China has worked for years to break what it regards as an unfair grip by the United States on global political and financial institutions and to set up rival structures more responsive to Chinese demands for a voice in international affairs commensurate with its status as the world’s second-biggest economy.


terça-feira, 17 de março de 2015

A Péssima Educação nos Estados Unidos


Entre os países ricos, os EUA estão muito mal posicionados em termos educacionais. Vejam tabela acima. Fiquei preocupado com Espanha e Itália que ainda são piores que os EUA.

O site Zero Hedge ainda destaca alguma estatísticas interessantes que ressaltam o resultado acima para os Estados Unidos:

- After two years in college, 45% of students showed no significant gains in learning; after four years, 36% showed little change.”

-“Students also spent 50% less time studying compared with students a few decades ago”

-“35% of students report spending five or fewer hours per week studying alone.”

-“50% said they never took a class in a typical semester where they wrote more than 20 pages”

-“32% never took a course in a typical semester where they read more than 40 pages per week.


E no Brasil, nossos estudantes escrevem 20 páginas por semana?

Eles lêem 40 páginas por semana?





sábado, 14 de março de 2015

Ele expôs a Fraude de Ambientalistas, Foi Perseguido, mas Ganhou na Justiça.



Interessante história do cientista James Enstrom. Vejamos o que divulgou o site College Fix.

VINDICATED: RESEARCHER PUNISHED FOR EXPOSING CLIMATE FRAUD BEATS UCLA

by MATT LAMB - LOYOLA UNIVERSITY CHICAGO on MARCH 12, 2015

School says it’s purely a financial decision – trial ain’t cheap
Scientific research at universities is supposed to involve inquiry into established theories and hypotheses.
That is, unless they question environmental regulations.
One UCLA science researcher, a 34-year veteran of the school, found himself out of a job in 2011 after examining the data underlying diesel regulations proposed by a California regulator and exposing the shoddy credentials of a lead author of that regulator’s report.
James Enstrom secured victory in a two-and-a-half year legal battle against UCLA last week when the school agreed to settle the case.
The school is paying the “diesel particulate matter” expert $140,000, reinstating his title as “Retired Researcher,” and restoring his access to UCLA resources, “effectively” rescinding his termination, according to the American Center for Law & Justice, which represented Enstrom.
Enstrom had challenged the validity of a California Air Resources Board study on diesel particulate matter and mortality in the state and the regulations that followed. He denounced the research as a faulty reading of data.
UCLA retaliated against Enstrom after he “became an aggressive and lone critic at UCLA of air pollution research,” escalating in 2008 after he testified in California Senate hearings, according to a lawsuit filed by the center in 2012.
It accused the school of initiating “a series of actions designed to silence and ultimately terminate Dr. Enstrom.”
Enstrom exposed fraudulent behavior in the studies on which the board relied, including that of the lead author of a 2008 report. Hien Tran “admitted he purchased” a magna cum laude Ph.D. for $1,000 from a “diploma mill associated with a fugitive pedophile,” according to CalWatchdog.
It’s “the standard MO” of the regulatory board to use “unverified studies to gin up regulations” in the state, according to Lois Henry, a Bakersfield Californiancolumnist who covers California politics, in a column last month.
After blowing the whistle, Enstrom found his position’s funding cut, as detailed in a 2010 letter from the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education to then-Chancellor Gene Block.
“Every day that the case continues is a deeper violation of academic freedom and freedom of speech and a more thorough chilling of faculty speech at UCLA,” FIRE said. The availability of an appeals and grievance process “does not absolve you or UCLA of the moral and legal responsibility to immediately reverse the decision not to rehire Enstrom.”
An April 2011 letter from the Academic Freedom Committee of the Academic Senate also sided with Enstrom, calling the school’s failure to reappoint him “a violation of academic freedom.”
In an email to The College Fix, Enstrom pointed to the importance of the Secret Science Reform Act, currently under consideration in Congress, which would require public disclosure of “materials, data and associated protocols” as well as “computer codes and models,” so that results can be understood and research replicated.
Speaking about the settlement, UCLA told The Daily Bruin that it did not target Enstrom for his political beliefs.
It said that “Enstrom’s presence as a researcher for decades, despite his minority positions defending diesel emissions and tobacco, demonstrates” that UCLA promotes academic diversity.
A spokesman told The Fix that UCLA settled the case because it would cost “far less than the legal costs of a trial.” Enstrom’s settlement includes “some other incidental campus services, such as eligibility for parking and email, associated with his retiree status.”
College Fix reporter Matt Lamb is a student at Loyola University-Chicago.

quinta-feira, 12 de março de 2015

Nazismo e Crise Financeira na Grécia


A Grécia enfrenta terríveis problemas financeiros. Muito por culpa dela mesma. Mas é sempre mais fácil falar que a "culpa é do sistema" ou atacar a honra de seus credores (duas conhecidas falácias lógicas).

Não é que a Grécia quer responder às dificuldades financeiras usando armas jurídicas que remontam à Segunda Guerra Mundial (Massacre de Distomo).

Ora, a Alemanha é, no final das contas, o país que financia a Zona do Euro, e por isso é quem determina como ajudar a Grécia em tempos de crise. E a Alemanha é responsável pelas terríveis consequências da Segunda Guerra Mundial e muitos respeitados historiadores dizem ainda que a Alemanha também é o principal culpado pela Primeira Guerra Mundial.

No entanto, é óbvio,  que isto não tem nada a ver com a crise financeira de diversos países europeus. E além disso, como se pode pagar pela morte de uma vida? E pela morte de centenas de vidas?

Além disso, a Grécia está usando a história para fazer política e economia e não para fazer justiça. Pois suspendeu o pedido de reparação quando foi de interesse político.

Vejamos o relato do site Zero Hedge.

Earlier today, despite fears that it may not find enough cash to fund its latest T-Bill rollover, Greece was able to sell €1.3 billion of three-month Treasury bills, covering the amount it wanted to refinance a maturing issue, in what Reuters dubbed was an "auction that tested its ability to raise funds amid a cash crunch." The paper came at a higher cost as the T-bills were priced to yield 2.70 percent, up 20 basis points from 2.50 percent in a previous sale in February, the country's debt agency PDMA said.
However, this latest funding appears to have brought Greek funds to a critical low level because roughly at the same time news broke that Greek Justice Minister Nikos Paraskevopoulos said he is ready to sign an older court ruling that will enable the foreclosure of German assets in Greece in order to compensate the relatives of victims of Nazi crimes during the Second World War.
As Kathimerini reports, Greece's Supreme Court ruled in favor of Distomo survivors in 2000, but the decision has not been enforced. Distomo, a small village in central Greece, lost 218 lives in a Nazi massacre in 1944.
Some background on the story from Keep Talking Greece:

On Tuesday, Greek Justice Minister Nikos Paraskevopoulos said that he was ready to sign an older decision issued in year 2000 by Greece’s Highest Court Areios Pagos that enables confiscation of German state property in Greece. The court decision confirmed the First Instance Court decision of 1997 that had ruled that Germany had to pay €28 million to descendants of the Distomo massacre.

On 10 June 1944, Waffen SS killed 218 men, women and children of Distomo village, in reprisal for attacks by resistance fighters.

“The confiscation of German property in Greece would affect the Goethe Institute and the German Schools in Athens and Thessaloniki,” Greek media report.

Speaking to ANT1 TV this morning, Paraskevopoulos said that the court decision needs only the signature of the Justice Minister in order to go in effect. However he implied that this will not be done immediately.

According to Greek media, already in 2000, PASOK Justice Minister had signed the court decision and a justicial clerk appeared at the door of Goethe Institute in Athens.

“However, the Justice minister withdrew his signature. after a couple of days later Germany approved the entrance of Greece to the Euro zone,” notes Proto Thema.

But the Justice Minister and every Justice Minister has to take into consideration the impact on bilateral relations.

Also on Tuesday, deputy Defense Minister Kostas Ysichos said that the ministry has the so-called Wehrmacht- Archive, an archive of 400,000 records of the German occupation,  that is currently in the process of digitilization.

As KTG succinctly observes, "The decision comes amid a frozen atmosphere between Greece and Germany over bailout reforms and a series of insults spoken by German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble against his counterpart Yanis Varoufakis."
During the same debate, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras expressed his government’s firm intention to seek war reparations from Germany, noting that Athens would show sensitivity that it hoped to see reciprocated from Berlin.
Then again, "sensitive" is hardly how one would characterize his speech: when speaking before Parliament, Tsipras accused Germany of using legal tricks to avoid paying reparations for the Nazi occupation of Greece and said he would support parliamentary efforts to review the matter.
“After the reunification of Germany in 1990, the legal and political conditions were created for this issue to be solved. But since then, German governments chose silence, legal tricks and delay. And I wonder, because there is a lot of talk at the European level these days about moral issues: is this stance moral?” Tsipras said and added that "despite the crimes of the Third Reich and Hitler’s hordes, the German debt was written off".
Germany has repeatedly rejected Greek calls for WWII reparations claiming that “war compensations to individuals was settled with the "Agreement of 1960" and the “Agreement of 1990.”
However, “the Agreement of 1960 covered only compensation for the individual victims of Nazi horrors, not the destruction wrought on Greece during the 1941-1944 occupation and the enforced loan,” Tsipras said.
Why is Greece pushing for any recovery on the reparations front? Because the amount for the cash-strapped, and now desperate, country could be substantial: "according to some sources, the Greek claims from Germany are estimated  €269 – €332 billion. In April 2013, after the investigation committee concluded its work, newspaper To Vima reported that the Greek claim was 162 billion euro."
To Vima stressed to have seen the findings and reports that the experts found that Germany should pay Greece 108 billion euros for damage to infrastructure and 54 billion euros for a loan that the Nazi occupation forces obliged Greece to take in order to pay Berlin during the war.
In other words, the reparations are equivalent to about 80 percent of Greek gross domestic product.


quarta-feira, 11 de março de 2015

"Povo Brasileiro é Infantilizado"


Ontem li uma entrevista do economista Marcos Lisboa, que trabalhou no governo Lula, para a agência de notícias da Agência Estado (Broadcast).

Ele falou da necessidade de ajuste fiscal (mesmo que as medidas não sejam muito boas) e ressaltou as dificuldades de se fazer isso em uma "sociedade infantilizada".

Ele tem razão, vamos esquecer que ele foi chefe no governo Lula que foi eleito para "infantilizar" a sociedade com muitas benesses (dar aumento de salário sem relação com a meritocracia, bolsa família, cotas raciais,...). Será que ele não sabia da relação PT com os sindicatos, quando aceitou o cargo na época?

Cabe também adicionar que não se trata de um problema brasileiro, não é uma jabuticaba, também se fala do vício em "free stuff" nos Estados Unidos e toda a Europa financia seus próprios inimigos (vários jihadistas são sustentados pelos governos).

Ele tem razão que a infantilização traz enormes dificuldades, na medida que se deprecia o valor do trabalho.

Vejamos parte da entrevista de Lisboa.

10/03/2015 13:09:30 - AE Topnews
4. ENTREVISTA/MARCOS LISBOA: SITUAÇÃO ECONÔMICA É CULPA DO GOVERNO E DE "SOCIEDADE INFANTILIZADA"

São Paulo, 10/03/2015 - As medidas fiscais do governo federal são dolorosas, mas seguem na direção correta, na avaliação do diretor vice-presidente do Insper, Marcos Lisboa. "As medidas fiscais, mesmo as que não são as melhores para a retomada do crescimento, devem ser feitas", diz Lisboa, em entrevista exclusiva ao Broadcast para comentar a relação entre o ajuste fiscal e o descontentamento de parte da população evidenciado no "vaiaço" de domingo.

Para o economista, a agenda de retomada do crescimento econômico é difícil "não só por culpa do governo", mas também pelo fato de o Brasil ter uma "sociedade infantilizada". Ou seja, diversos grupos se acham no direito de receber tratamento privilegiado. "Até pouco tempo, o governo decidiu ceder à demanda de grupos organizados. O resultado está aí." Abaixo os principais trechos da entrevista:

Broadcast - As medidas na área econômica estão adequadas? Marcos Lisboa - As medidas fiscais até agora têm o mérito de um reconhecimento tácito de erros e de uma mudança de rumo. As manifestações (como a que ocorreu no domingo) são compreensíveis porque foi eleita uma presidente com discurso contrário do que está sendo feito. Lá atrás, o governo decidiu adotar uma postura mais populista de negar a crise internacional e conceder estímulos para evitar a crise no Brasil. O resultado disso foi adiar e agravar a crise. É o equivalente ao que foi feito com a água e a energia.

Broadcast - O senhor se refere ao adiamento do diagnóstico de escassez de água e de um plano de prevenção para a crise que vivemos no estado de São Paulo, por exemplo?
Lisboa - Isso. É a mesma coisa. (No caso do ajuste fiscal,) ainda tem a frustração das pessoas que acreditaram no governo e em uma saída mágica para evitar as restrições que agora são vistas. Além disso, a campanha eleitoral como foi conduzida queimou as pontes com muitos grupos da sociedade e gerou graves desafios para a presidente em termos de criar consenso, alianças.

Broadcast - O fato de, na sua opinião, nem todas as medidas fiscais serem adequadas justifica o descontentamento de parte da população no domingo?
Lisboa - Acho que não. São duas coisas separadas. As medidas fiscais, mesmo as que não são as melhores para o longo prazo, devem ser feitas. Como fazê-lo é o que pode definir como vai se dar a retomada do crescimento econômico. E o Brasil tem uma agenda difícil para retomar o crescimento não só por culpa do governo. Temos também uma sociedade infantilizada. É a economia da meia entrada. Diversos grupos se acham no direito de ter tratamento privilegiado, de andar no acostamento. Isso se disseminou na sociedade brasileira de maneira impressionante.

Broadcast - Considerando a hipótese de termos outro governo, as medidas fiscais seriam as mesmas dado o resultado fiscal de 2014 e dessa cultura de "andar pelo acostamento"?
Lisboa - O ajuste fiscal teria de ser feito de qualquer maneira, e o atual está longe de ser suficiente. Há um debate sobre em que medida vamos continuar com essa concessão disseminada de privilégios pontuais. Até pouco tempo, o governo decidiu ceder à demanda de grupos organizados para baixar os juros, aumentar o câmbio, conceder crédito subsidiado, evitar concorrência exterior, estimular a regra de conteúdo nacional, proteger o pequeno negócio. O governo cedeu, e o resultado está aí. (Karla Spotorno - karla.spotorno@estadao.com)